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Let's pretend Jersey had an independent currency and then
calculate its position on the Economist's Big Mac Index.
The
Big Mac Index is a simple indicator or rough estimate
illustrating the theory of
purchasing-power parity (PPP) since the Big Mac hamburger is consistently
available in 120 countries [1]. The PPP theory
is based on the law of one price, that is to say that in an
efficient market identical goods should have one price[3].
Using the last published Index on July 2nd, 2007, this is how Jersey would
appear with a Big Mac priced locally at £2.10, mainland UK remains £1.99.
| |
Big Mac prices |
Implied PPP of the dollar |
Actual dollar exchange rate
Jul 2nd |
Under (-)/over(+) valuation
against the dollar % |
|
in local currency |
in dollars |
| United States |
$3.41 |
3.41 |
|
|
|
| Canada |
C$3.88 |
3.68 |
1.14 |
1.05 |
+8 |
| Jersey, Channel Islands |
£2.10 |
4.11 |
1.62§ |
2.01§ |
+24 |
| United Kingdom |
£1.99 |
4.01 |
1.71§ |
2.01§ |
+18 |
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Thus, it suggests that the Jersey Pound (JEP) is 24% overvalued against to US
dollar. However, the Jersey Pound is in currency union with the United Kingdom;
it's not an independent currency, but a variant of the British Pound[2].
Therefore, I believe the Big Mac index is reflecting Jersey's higher input costs
(rent, wages, transport costs) relative to the mainland UK.
What do you think?

§ - Dollars per pound
[1] Twenty Years of the Big Mac index, Economist.com, May 25, 2006.
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_GJSNQSS
[2] The Jersey Pound,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jersey_pound, 10 November 2007
[3] Purchasing Power Parity,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purchasing_power_parity, 10 November 2007. |